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Malta Economic Outlook - 2025

The government deficit in Malta remains above the 3.0% level, but appears to be on a downward trajectory, having declined from 4.5% last year to 4.0% in 2024. In fact, according to the budget’s estimates, the deficit as a percentage of GDP is set to fall by another 0.5 percentage points year-on-year, with the government aiming to ultimately meet the 3.0% criteria in 2026, with a further reduction to 2.6% anticipated in 2027. This trajectory, while lagging behind the EA average, remains ahead of some of Europe’s largest economies, including France and Italy.

Malta’s debt-to-GDP ratio is forecast to peak at 50.1% in 2025, reflecting a substantial increase in government debt, which is projected to rise from €9.8bn in 2023 to €11.1bn in 2024 and further increase to €12.0bn in 2025. By 2027, total government debt is expected to reach €13.5bn. This increase in debt highlights the government’s ongoing financial commitments, including investments in infrastructure, public services, and social programs, which are crucial for driving economic growth and development.

Despite this rising debt, it is important to note that it is anticipated to be matched by forecasted GDP growth, which is projected to increase from €20.7bn in 2023 to €27.4bn by 2027. This significant economic expansion implies that while debt levels are high in absolute terms, the growing economy can help absorb the impact of this debt.
  • Author: FChain Media

Public Relations Manager

10.02.2025
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