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FITCH RATINGS UPGRADES THE CZECH REPUBLIC'S ECONOMIC OUTLOOK TO STABLE

American credit rating agency Fitch Ratings has announced a significant shift in its economic outlook for the Czech Republic, upgrading it from negative to stable. The decision, revealed in a press release this weekend, maintains the Czech Republic’s credit rating at AA-, highlighting the nation’s resilience amidst gradual pandemic and energy price shocks.

Despite short-term growth challenges, Fitch acknowledges the country’s ability to manage crises without enduring macroeconomic impacts, attributing the turnaround to political measures promoting stability.

“[The] Czech Republic has navigated the successive pandemic and energy price shocks without lasting effects on the long-term macroeconomic outlook, despite weaker growth in the short term,” reads the Fitch Ratings report.

“Heightened uncertainty has receded, following policy measures focused on stability. The inflation shock has not led to permanent de-anchoring of inflation expectations, and credible monetary policy has supported a sharp decline of inflation, which we expect to remain within the target range through 2025.”

The Czech Ministry of Finance has underscored the importance of consolidation measures introduced this year, aiming to collectively reduce the state budget deficit by up to CZK 150.7 billion by the end of 2025, with the goal of narrowing the public finance deficit to approximately one percent of GDP next year.

This positive shift contrasts with Fitch’s report in May of 2022, when it revised its outlook for the Czech Republic from stable to negative, citing deteriorating public finance indicators and increased government spending. Credit ratings serve as crucial benchmarks for investors, indicating the likelihood of loan repayments.

Higher ratings enhance a debtor’s credibility, potentially securing cheaper loans and influencing borrowing conditions such as interest rates. The Czech Republic’s improved outlook suggests increased confidence among creditors, potentially leading to favorable borrowing terms and bolstering economic prospects.

Fitch Ratings is one of the “Big Three” credit rating agencies worldwide, alongside Moody’s and Standard & Poor’s (S&P). Moody’s also revised their economic outlook for the Czech Republic from negative to stable at the end of last year, while S&P has maintained a stable outlook for the country.

The upgrade in economic outlook reflects positively on the Czech Republic’s economic management and resilience in the face of challenges. It signals to investors and financial markets a degree of stability and reliability in the country’s financial affairs, which could attract investment and facilitate economic growth.

 

  • Author: Gunel Musa

Public Relations Manager

06.03.2024
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